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Published by BJ Rudell
Unusually accurate, contrarian fantasy football predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ Rudell has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+. E-mail him at fantasyfootballforwinners@gmail.com.
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Of course Jahmyr Gibbs is a must-start tonight. And of course high-usage Sunday-to-Thursday RBs usually regress statistically. In the likelihood that he falls short of expectations, don’t be surprised.
If I had researched this over the summer, I would have labeled Jaylen Waddle a fantasy bust.
The first week of the fantasy season is in the books. Sometimes we make the mistake of putting too much stock into what happened. Other times we make mistake of ignoring the warning signs. Yeah, it’s a complex week.
Three examples of Week 1 disappointments, and why each has a different likely path the rest of the season.
A DFS lineup for today’s 4 PM Eastern games, with a focus on high-ceiling players in high-powered offenses.
With Malik Davis sidelined indefinitely, the Cowboys are suddenly very thin at running back behind bell cow Javonte Williams. That’s good news for the handful of managers rostering Emari Demercado.
Kaelon Black and Blake Corum both played well last night. But that didn’t make them fantasy relevant. Here’s what to watch for in the coming weeks.
A final warning on Christian McCaffrey.
In the opening game of the 2026 regular season, two wide receivers are in this interesting fantasy space between draftable, streamable, and droppable.
I did some research last night, and based on what I found, my entire DST draft strategy has changed forever. Sounds a little dramatic, I know.
What most people are missing about Derrick Henry’s 2026 fantasy outlook . . .
Why are the ADPs of uber-bargains Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes essentially unchanged since June?
A fantasy phrase suggesting at least one receiver on a team will step up and be relevant. If only it were that simple . . .
Camp buzz and an injury are forcing me to question my all-summer-long belief that TreVeyon Henderson will take over the Patriots’ backfield this season.
Who will be the highest-scoring fantasy WR among teams’ #3 wideouts? A strong case could be made for De’Zhaun Stribling. Jakobi Meyers (assuming he’s officially the Jags’ #3) could break through. But one guy arguably is the most undervalued entering the season: Jauan Jennings.
Using data analytics to help make sense of the RB “dead zone” in fantasy drafts.
Some people say that teams’ strength of schedule impacts fantasy production. Turns out the opposite is true.
Some managers go RB-heavy in the early rounds of drafts. Others adopt a zero-RB strategy. But does it even matter?
There are two types of drafters. One focuses primarily on the early rounds. The other puts the same focus into every round.
There’s a lot of chaos in the Packers’ backfield, and I don’t think the fantasy market is looking at the big picture.
Ranking source
Apple Podcasts rankings via the Mato Topic Intelligence Platform.
Observed September 20, 2026.
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