Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

John reads Warsh's Jackson Hole speech as a nothing burger for Bitcoiners: a Fed chair must talk tough on inflation because signaling anything else would send inflation expectations and yields higher, while the long-run path of financial repression stays the same Warsh reported that 54% of PCE basket components rose more than 3% over the past year, called 4.1% unemployment full employment, and framed inflation as squarely the Fed's problem to solve Markets read the speech as hawkish anyway: the two-year yield rose about 12 basis points while gold and Bitcoin each gave back roughly 3.5% On last week's expanded Treasury buybacks, John points to two signals: a 30-year yield near 5.3% is clearly bothering policymakers, and the Fed has never meaningfully reduced its holdings of 10-year-plus Treasuries even during quantitative tightening, evidence that natural buyers of long-dated government paper are scarce The hosts revisit the shallowest bear market thesis they developed together on this show: a roughly 52% drawdown against 77% to 90%-plus in prior cycles, with the June low of $58,000 sitting just below the 200-week moving average before price rocketed back through it John explains why he believes the June low will hold, while framing the 50-week moving average near $82,000 as the level the market is watching to declare a new bull market Glassnode data shows 1.05 million Bitcoin of long-term holder supply with a cost basis between $83,000 and $86,000, the first heavy resistance shelf above spot, and the hosts discuss how cost basis shapes market psychology The debasement trade is back in ETF volumes, with GLD and IBIT both in the top ten most traded funds, and the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio breaking its year-long downtrend after gold's 2025 outperformance Bitcoin's long correlation with software stocks broke down in June, and John argues it was always the wrong frame, a point Lyn Alden's Wall Street Journal essay makes at length: Bitcoin is a protocol of value, not another technology stock A broad Treasury ETF has returned roughly negative 18% after inflation over fifteen years while the supply of government debt keeps expanding, the picture John says is quietly ending the era of Treasuries as the world's default store of value ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Bitcoin gained roughly $12,000 on the week, and the hosts read the second leg through $72,000 as evidence of real buying rather than short liquidations alone Bitcoin reclaimed its 200-day moving average and pushed roughly 20% above its 200-week, after six weeks of trading along that longer average in the mid to low sixties Isaiah cites the market adage that nothing good happens below the 200-day, and notes that breaking back above it with strength is what makes the move notable James Check's realized profit and loss work frames bear markets in three phases, price pain, time pain, and bears in pain, with this week marking the third Brady and Isaiah revisit a thesis they have argued on the show for over a year, that ETFs and corporate treasury demand would put a floor under this cycle The drawdown reached roughly 50% from the $126,000 high, against 75% to 83% in the three previous bear markets, which the hosts attribute partly to a more restrained bull market and partly to declining volatility as Bitcoin monetizes The US Treasury bought about $4 billion of long-dated bonds to pull yields down, the effect lasted about 24 hours, and Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled larger and more frequent purchases ahead Isaiah compares the operation to Operation Twist and calls it quantitative easing by another name, monetizing debt without using the term, with no political will to curtail spending The hosts discuss capital potentially rotating back to Bitcoin from AI, where frontier labs are spending heavily without profitability while open source models close the gap The conversation closes on what debasement costs beyond prices, first-time buyers reaching their forties, delayed family formation, and the disappearance of building for generations rather than quarters ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady breaks down the Bitcoin community's open letter to Anthropic: red team researchers report over a thousand serious vulnerabilities found across Bitcoin's open source ecosystem, and by their account not one was surfaced by an American frontier model Rob Hamilton's line lands hardest: getting locked out of a US cyber program mid-investigation "guts him as a patriotic American," but he uses the models that work, and so do the attackers Isaiah reaches for the crossbow: medieval bans on easy-to-use weapons never held, and hobbling defenders while attackers ignore the rules is the same losing proposition A viral Sam Altman clip about AI watching your screen and hearing your calls prompts the show's sharpest frame: take the Bitcoin ethos to intelligence itself, and control your own model like you control your own money The debt reality check: Trump told Bob Woodward in 2016 the $19 trillion debt could be erased in eight years through trade; a decade later the US approaches $40 trillion and interest payments have passed defense spending Groceries tell the story the CPI smooths over: food prices up roughly a third since 2019 by the AP's chart, quality quietly falling, and full-time employment down millions from its early-2025 peak Japan shrank its debt-to-GDP from 229 to 204 without repaying a dime through financial repression, a roundabout tax nobody voted on, and the gap savers should have earned is exactly what the government kept The catch: Japan owes itself, with the Bank of Japan holding 48% of its own debt, while foreigners hold 31% of America's, so when Washington tried the same trick, foreign holders sold and yields broke five percent Bear market check-in: Brady's third, Isaiah's second, and the shared lesson that conviction is earned in the first winter, while the 200-week moving average and cost-of-production zone mark where Bitcoin sits now The week's rare good news: FinCEN permanently ends beneficial ownership reporting for US companies and deletes the collected data, days after Liechtenstein's equivalent register leaked 31,000 entities ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

The failure, in plain terms A March 2021 firmware change altered how Coldcard generated entropy, leaving seeds near 40 bits instead of the 128 or 256 that makes the cryptography uncrackable, so attackers could simply run the space Who it hit Galaxy's tracking showed the first wave alone above 1,000 Bitcoin and roughly 1,400 to 1,500 total, weighted toward long-time savers stacking modest amounts rather than large addresses This was not a self-inflicted loss Isaiah drew the line clearly: people who use leverage and lose have made a choice, while these holders researched, chose the device with the strongest reputation, and still had nothing they could have done differently The warnings existed A seed collision in 2022 had two users seeing each other's transactions, and a later technical question was written off as FUD, which is why Guy Swan's point landed: the temperament you want in someone securing your savings is one that welcomes being told it might be broken The community response was the bright spot Rescues ran all weekend, and the decentralized Bitcoin Red Team has scanned around 425 Bitcoin repositories, funded by donations covering model access rather than by any single company One holder's response stood out Someone who lost roughly $1.6 million posted six days later that he was rebuilding his stack, still believed in Bitcoin, and would still self-custody Multisig held up Brady saw few or no reports of Coldcard multisig quorums being swept, because pairing keys is hard without the descriptor, and MARA's Slipstream let people move those funds through a private mempool instead of exposing them Swan is not advising Vault clients to move funds Vault runs two Blockstream Jades, chosen after a thorough review of the options and explained in Yan Pritzker's article published the same day, and Swan has now begun evaluating a second vendor so multi-vendor becomes an option Calle's finding is the AI story of the week Not one vulnerability was found by a US frontier model, while roughly $10,000 a day goes to open-weight models to audit Bitcoin infrastructure, because the American models refuse cybersecurity work outright Why we still need Bitcoin A year's salary buys about 90% less gold than in 1971, monetary inflation has run 396% against CPI's 96%, and real discretionary income after food, gas, interest and rent has fallen since 2011 ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Swan Signal Live celebrated its 250th episode , with Brady reflecting on the show’s evolution since 2020 and its early multi-guest format. Brady and Isaiah discussed Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas’ “too big to fail” thesis , arguing that U.S. equities have effectively become America’s national savings account, increasing the likelihood of future government intervention to support stock prices. The conversation explored how the erosion of fiat currency’s store-of-value function has pushed savers into financial assets, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a superior monetary asset. The hosts analyzed Strategy’s sale of 3,588 BTC , arguing it was a strategic move to strengthen its case for S&P 500 inclusion rather than a change in Michael Saylor’s long-term Bitcoin thesis. They covered delays surrounding the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve , noting ongoing disputes between government agencies over control while highlighting the lack of meaningful Bitcoin accumulation so far. Brady criticized the growing overlap between politics and crypto, arguing that President Trump’s crypto-related business activities have complicated prospects for the CLARITY Act and broader crypto legislation. They reviewed recent ETF outflows alongside aggressive whale accumulation , suggesting experienced Bitcoin holders are buying while institutional ETF investors have been selling during the recent market weakness. The discussion examined Bitcoin miners increasingly allocating computing infrastructure to AI workloads , concluding that the trend is likely beneficial for both miners and the long-term Bitcoin network. Vanguard’s search for a Head of Digital Assets was highlighted as another sign that major traditional financial institutions continue moving toward Bitcoin despite previous skepticism. The episode concluded with an overview of Swan’s Real Bitcoin Exchange (RBX) , explaining how long-time GBTC and ETF holders can exchange into real on-chain Bitcoin while preserving their tax basis. ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John kick off with World Cup excitement, celebrating Team USA’s gritty performance and using the tournament as a metaphor for global monetary competition The discussion explores the emergence of OpenUSD (OUSD) , a new stablecoin standard backed by more than 140 companies, and whether it represents meaningful decentralization or simply a private-sector version of a CBDC The hosts argue that despite branding around openness and neutrality, OUSD remains a centralized, censorable dollar token fundamentally different from Bitcoin John frames money as an ongoing global competition, suggesting that Bitcoin and fiat currencies are likely to coexist for many years due to the enormous network effects of existing monetary systems Alex Thorn’s Bitcoin bottom indicators show several classic bear market signals triggering, reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin may be approaching a cyclical bottom while acknowledging this cycle differs in magnitude from prior ones The conversation examines the persistence of Bitcoin’s four-year timing cycle, debating whether market participants’ expectations could become self-fulfilling and drive renewed momentum later in the year Macro charts highlight continued expansion of the U.S. money supply and federal debt, reinforcing Bitcoin’s long-term monetary thesis despite current market weakness The hosts discuss signs that speculative crypto venture capital is collapsing while AI attracts investment, arguing that 2025 may ultimately be remembered as the end of the crypto boom rather than Bitcoin itself Brady closes with a Fourth of July reflection, arguing that Bitcoin embodies the principles of individual liberty, property rights, and sound money that animated America’s founding debates ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Bitcoin sentiment is weak as price revisits the “58K gang” zone and breaks below key long-term chart levels John argues the four-year cycle thesis is being tested again, but if it explains downside, it should also imply potential upside later Long-term holder supply is at record highs, suggesting conviction buyers are accumulating while weaker ETF-driven holders sell Lyn Alden’s analysis frames Bitcoin’s core value as unchanged: debasement-resistant, permissionless global value transfer AI is pulling investor attention and capital away from Bitcoin in the short term, especially as AI stocks dominate market enthusiasm The hosts debate whether AI could eventually increase Bitcoin demand through agents, Lightning payments, stablecoins, and mining/data-center convergence Strategy’s preferred shares, especially Stretch, are under stress, raising questions about leverage, market confidence, and Saylor’s capital structure CBDCs, stablecoins, age verification, VPN restrictions, and surveillance laws are discussed as signs of a growing digital panopticon The episode closes with reflections on Alan Greenspan, Fed communication, purposeful obfuscation, and why hard money remains relevant ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John open with World Cup talk, including Canada’s first-ever World Cup win, the U.S. matchup, and how the tournament is challenging global stereotypes about America Bitcoin sentiment is notably weak, with price around $62K and many market participants expecting a four-year-cycle-style bottom later in 2026 John outlines possible causes of the sell-off, including whale selling, miner selling, AI stock flows, and reflexive belief in the four-year cycle The hosts compare this drawdown to 2022, noting that today’s decline feels less explainable than the Fed tightening, inflation, and crypto collapses of the prior bear market They discuss Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting, unchanged rates, mixed dot plots, and the possibility that inflation remains above target until 2028 Lyn Alden’s CNBC appearance is highlighted, especially her view that major balance sheet reduction is unlikely and that much of Bitcoin’s leverage-driven pain may already be behind us BlackRock’s new Bitcoin income ETF is discussed as another sign that Wall Street continues building Bitcoin products, even if the product may not suit every investor Strategy’s Stretch preferred stock volatility is analyzed, with John arguing the situation is serious but not existential for Strategy SpaceX’s IPO and 18,712 BTC holdings are discussed as another example of unique founder-led companies holding Bitcoin Swan announces RBX, Real Bitcoin Exchange, a product designed to help ETF holders, especially GBTC holders, exchange shares for real Bitcoin in a tax-efficient, in-kind process ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John open with sports talk, covering the Knicks’ dramatic OG Anunoby tip-in and the World Cup kicking off in North America Bitcoin is back near $63K, prompting a discussion of whether current drawdown conditions resemble past cycle bottoms John reviews Alex Thorn’s Galaxy analysis showing that only 4 of 13 classic Bitcoin bottom signals have triggered, while the prior October 2025 top also showed only 2 of 11 classic top signals The hosts argue Bitcoin’s cycles may be changing as the asset matures, with ETFs, institutional capital, and deeper liquidity potentially compressing both tops and bottoms They revisit supply-in-profit metrics, noting that the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit has fallen to levels similar to prior cycle bottoms Brady and John emphasize long-term conviction, recurring buys, and education as the antidote to emotional reactions during sharp Bitcoin drawdowns The episode explores whether MicroStrategy’s large Bitcoin holdings are a threat, with both hosts arguing that permissionless accumulation is part of Bitcoin’s design, not a weakness They discuss OG coin distribution, institutional absorption, miner selling, and AI-driven market distraction as possible contributors to Bitcoin’s recent 50% decline Macro coverage includes a hot CPI print, persistent inflation above target, Kevin Warsh’s Fed dilemma, and why rate cuts may still arrive despite elevated inflation Brady introduces Swan’s new Real Bitcoin Exchange, a first-to-market product designed to help ETF holders move from Bitcoin price exposure into real Bitcoin ownership ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Bitcoin is mired in a record 13-day ETF outflow streak and wicked down near 59K before recovering to the low 60s Multiple on-chain bottom signals are flashing: coins held at a loss exceeding coins in profit, a touch of the 200-week moving average, and long-term holder supply near an all-time high at 16.3 million coins Each bear market is getting milder, with roughly 50% of addresses still in profit at this cycle's low versus about 35% back in 2015 Brady and John argue the AI IPO supercycle (OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX) is vacuuming up risk capital and is the largest competing claim Bitcoin has faced to date Pierre Rochard, Nik Bhatia, and Mark Moss all frame the drawdown as repricing and AI competition rather than broken fundamentals JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citi announced a shared tokenized deposit network through The Clearing House, a closed bank ledger that has nothing to do with Bitcoin Better and Coinbase issued a Fannie Mae-backed mortgage letting a Michigan couple pledge Bitcoin as collateral without selling, avoiding capital gains while keeping upside Fed cut odds stay murky after a strong jobs print, with Kevin Hassett arguing growth doesn't require hikes and Trump publicly pushing for cuts The hosts float a speculative, unverified theory that DOJ-seized Bitcoin from operations in Cambodia, Venezuela, and Iran may be quietly hitting the market Brady and John make the case that Bitcoin thrives in an AI future as deflationary money for an emerging autonomous machine economy ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John open on Bitcoin Pizza Day — Laszlo's 10,000 BTC purchase of two Papa John's pizzas now worth roughly $770 million marked Bitcoin's evolution from cryptographic curiosity into a medium of exchange SpaceX's S1 filing discloses 18,712 BTC held at a $35,000 cost basis, making the company the seventh-largest public Bitcoin holder ahead of Coinbase and adding institutional weight to the largest IPO in US history Strategy crossed BlackRock's IBIT this week to become the single largest Bitcoin holder on the planet, adding another 25,000 BTC for $2 billion and out-stacking the most successful ETF in US financial history Strive launched SADA, a perpetual preferred stock paying 13% daily Bitcoin-backed dividends — Joe Burnett frames it as a new product inside an old wrapper, echoing the 1971 money market fund innovation that took decades to find its container The ARMA bill, introduced with 17 co-sponsors, would codify the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve executive order and authorize the US Treasury to buy up to 200,000 BTC per year for five years, targeting one million coins or roughly 5% of global supply Iran launched Bitcoin-settled maritime cargo insurance, a vivid example of a sovereign nation routing around the dollar system and validating Yan Pritzker's 2021 prediction that countries outside the Western axis would adopt Bitcoin first Fed minutes signal higher-for-longer rates with the market now pricing only a 1.5% chance of a December rate cut — John argues Fed hawkishness matters less in a fiscal-dominance regime where Treasury spending sets the tone Bitcoin's implied volatility hit a seven-month low as AI takes the investor spotlight, but long-term holder supply is approaching a record high — Brady and John read this as a healthy floor forming around $70K rather than weakness Mark Cuban sold his Bitcoin claiming it failed as a hedge — John pushes back that you buy hedges before the event, not after, noting Bitcoin is up roughly 650% since February 2020 versus QQQ at 200%, gold at 175%, and the S&P at 145% Harvard trimmed its Bitcoin position to roughly $120 million and exited Ethereum entirely, likely rotating into AI exposure — Brady closes with a look at Vigil Protocol, Swan's first non-Bitcoin product, an AI-powered financial life mapping tool at vigilprotocol.ai ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

JPMorgan analysts say Bitcoin may be replacing gold in the debasement trade as Bitcoin ETF flows strengthen while gold ETF demand weakens China continues accumulating gold aggressively, reinforcing the broader de-dollarization theme Brady and Brandon discuss rumors of renewed U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve momentum and possible announcements this summer Michael Saylor signals Strategy may sell small amounts of Bitcoin when useful, not as a retreat, but as financial flexibility around preferred equity products like STRC AI-related stocks are driving a large share of market gains, with discussion of whether AI is a bubble or a durable infrastructure boom The hosts compare AI adoption to the early internet, noting that today’s AI demand is already much more visible and useful Bitcoin’s recent higher-low pattern suggests the market may have already passed its local bottom Brady and Brandon emphasize self-custody, highlighting Swan Vault as a safer, guided path for Bitcoin holders Brandon shares research on Bitcoiner personality types, showing Bitcoiners heavily over-index as intuitive, analytical, independent thinkers The episode closes with a discussion of Vigil Protocol, Swan’s new AI-assisted platform for organizing legal, financial, and estate-planning documents ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Fed leadership transition: Kevin Warsh advances toward becoming Fed Chair, signaling potential monetary regime change and a more Bitcoin-aware perspective Macro pressure building: Japan defending the yen by selling treasuries could force looser monetary policy globally “Fourth Turning” framework: Current geopolitical and monetary instability fits a broader historical cycle of institutional breakdown and reset Bitcoin vs fiat: Growing global distrust in fiat systems contrasts with rising Bitcoin adoption at sovereign and institutional levels Gold vs Bitcoin: Bitcoin regaining strength vs gold may trigger institutional capital rotation Institutional adoption continues: Pension funds and corporations increasingly allocating to Bitcoin treasuries Bitcoin dev risk: Ongoing legal concerns highlight need for protections around open-source software and self-custody Quantum computing FUD: Seen as a long-term issue with time for thoughtful mitigation, not an immediate threat Policy momentum: Potential U.S. legislation (American Reserve Modernization Act) hints at deeper Bitcoin integration Ecosystem innovation: Lightning and decentralized exchange tools (e.g., RailsX) show continued infrastructure growth ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Bitcoin rallied roughly 30% from its recent lows, strengthening the case that the cycle bottom may be in Isaiah Douglas highlighted that Bitcoin has historically never revisited a cycle low after recovering 30% from it Jesse Myers’ Bitcoin-versus-gold signal suggested Bitcoin may be entering a new multi-year bull phase Checkmate’s funding-rate data showed the rally appears driven by spot demand rather than excessive leverage A U.S. military hearing featured Bitcoin as a strategic computer science tool, echoing Jason Lowery’s “Softwar” thesis Brady and John discussed non-monetary Bitcoin use cases, including proof-of-work for cybersecurity, power projection, and Bitcoin as a clock Strategy continued aggressive Bitcoin accumulation, now rivaling BlackRock’s IBIT in total BTC holdings The hosts explored what Strategy could become over the next decade if it holds a massive Bitcoin treasury AI infrastructure stocks are outperforming software companies, with broader implications for markets and Bitcoin correlations The episode closed with Fed criticism, Kevin Warsh speculation, Powell’s renovation controversy, and a Swan product overview ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

John hosts the show and Brandon Quittem fills in for Brady, setting up a show centered on one big question: has Bitcoin already put in its cycle low The core argument is that this drawdown looks structurally different from past cycles because Bitcoin now has stronger institutional support, ETF demand, and a much deeper capital-market base John walks through why 2022 was uniquely brutal: high inflation, aggressive Fed tightening, shrinking money supply, crypto blowups, absent ETF infrastructure, and far less institutional sponsorship The hosts argue those conditions are mostly absent today, making comparisons to the 2022 collapse less useful and strengthening the case that roughly $65K-$70K was a likely bottom They highlight Morgan Stanley’s ETF launch and Goldman Sachs’ planned Bitcoin-linked income product as evidence that large financial institutions now view Bitcoin as a durable part of the financial landscape, not a passing trade Macro discussion ranges from Fed chair drama and the cost of the Federal Reserve renovation to Hank Paulson’s treasury-crash warning and the likelihood that future stress gets papered over through more intervention A major segment covers Strategy’s “Stretch” preferred structure and how new financing tools are expanding the company’s ability to keep accumulating Bitcoin Brandon shares results from his Myers-Briggs survey work, arguing Bitcoiners skew heavily toward “analyst” personality types and that future adoption will require messaging that reaches more conventional, risk-averse audiences The episode closes with discussion of socialist-style tax proposals, falling consumer sentiment versus rising asset prices, bad Bitcoin takes from credentialed critics, X becoming an “everything app,” and Bitcoin’s use in global trade outside the U.S.-centric financial system ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and Guy Swann open with a live in-person episode from BitBlockBoom and reflect on their combined years in Bitcoin media and podcasting They dig into Anthropic’s “Claude Mythos” and broader AI hype, arguing that real capability gains are happening, but marketing and fear-based narratives are amplifying the story Guy makes the case that markets have been misclassifying Bitcoin as a software-like asset, while recent divergence from software stocks may suggest Bitcoin is starting to trade more on its own fundamentals The conversation challenges the old four-year cycle framework, with both hosts arguing that Bitcoin has entered a new era shaped by ETFs, institutional flows, financialization, and reduced miner-driven supply impact MicroStrategy’s ongoing Bitcoin accumulation is framed as a major structural support, with its 2026 buying pace far exceeding prior cycle comparisons They discuss Iran reportedly accepting yuan or Bitcoin for Strait-related transit payments, viewing it as another signal that Bitcoin is becoming legitimate neutral money on the global stage Guy explains why Bitcoin adoption may continue gradually through better tools, stronger incentives, and the failures of fiat rails, rather than requiring one single dramatic macro event Quantum computing fears take center stage, but both hosts argue the threat is still highly speculative, often exaggerated, and not a reason for panic today They highlight that Bitcoin developers are actively working on quantum-resistant approaches, which makes the issue more of a long-term engineering challenge than an immediate existential threat The episode closes with commentary on inflation, broken fiat payment systems, Bitcoin’s superior settlement properties, and the importance of staying grounded amid both AI and quantum hype cycles ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John open on market fatigue, noting Bitcoin finally closed March green after five negative months, which they frame as a small but notable psychological win during a choppy stretch They highlight Morgan Stanley’s filing for a 14-basis-point Bitcoin ETF as a major institutional signal, especially given the firm’s $9 trillion client asset base and the rarity with which Morgan Stanley launches its own ETFs Lynn Alden’s recent media appearances anchor the macro discussion, with the hosts focusing on fiscal dominance, persistent deficit spending, and why massive public debt is already reshaping politics, asset performance, and global stability The Strait of Hormuz and oil disruption risk emerge as a major macro wildcard, with the hosts debating whether a prolonged disruption could meaningfully impact inflation, markets, and political incentives ahead of the midterms Square’s decision to auto-enable Bitcoin payments across millions of merchant terminals is framed as a meaningful step for Lightning adoption, even though merchants still default to instant dollar conversion New Hampshire’s Bitcoin-backed bond structure gets attention as a potentially important innovation, especially because it may open Bitcoin-linked exposure to municipal bond buyers through a wrapper structure involving CleanSpark The show covers continued Bitcoin treasury company evolution, including Metaplanet buying 5,000 more BTC, Strive proposing a digital credit ETF, and MARA selling 15,000 BTC while pivoting further toward AI and digital infrastructure Quantum computing fears are addressed in depth, with both hosts arguing that while the issue should be taken seriously, the current wave of panic is overstated and ignores how long Bitcoin developers have already been thinking about mitigation paths They also discuss a Dutch audit body criticizing anti-money-laundering rules as harmful to citizens with unclear benefits, using it as evidence that financial surveillance is increasingly difficult to justify The episode closes with discussion of AI’s growing pull on talent and capital, including layoffs at Oracle and MARA, the pause of Austin BitDevs, and the possibility that AI demand could reshape Bitcoin mining economics over time ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Anthropic “Mythos” AI leak suggests a major capability jump, raising serious concerns about AI-driven cybersecurity threats and collapsing cost barriers for attacks AI is rapidly changing the economics of security—attacks that once cost millions may now be executed cheaply and quickly OECD projects U.S. inflation rising to 4.2% in 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions and energy disruptions Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) signals deep institutional commitment and expectation of long-term portfolio allocation demand Bitcoin volatility continues to decline, weakening a major institutional objection to allocation Market structure is shifting: $65K–$70K is increasingly viewed as a structural price floor Strategy (MicroStrategy) expanding capital raise capacity highlights continued corporate Bitcoin accumulation Coinbase introduces Bitcoin-backed mortgage down payment loans, expanding real-world utility without forcing BTC sales Private credit and real estate funds showing stress (gating redemptions), reinforcing Bitcoin’s liquidity advantage Discussion with Andy Schectman highlights convergence between gold and Bitcoin as complementary assets rather than competitors ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

SEC and CFTC jointly classify Bitcoin (and several crypto assets) as digital commodities , providing formal regulatory clarity and reducing institutional uncertainty Self-custodial wallet developers and Bitcoin miners gain relief from broker classification risk, removing a major regulatory overhang The Fed held rates steady; Powell struck a mildly hawkish tone , signaling fewer cuts and continued inflation concerns US national debt surpasses $39 trillion , with interest payments exceeding $1T annually—highlighting systemic fiscal instability Morgan Stanley files for a proprietary Bitcoin ETF , signaling long-term allocation expectations across wealth management MicroStrategy continues aggressive accumulation, now holding 761,000 BTC , reinforcing a structural demand floor Bitcoin shows resilience amid macro pressure, holding near $70K despite rising yields and geopolitical uncertainty Wealth inequality deepens, with the top 10% driving ~50% of spending—framed as a consequence of fiat monetary expansion China shuts down ~1.3 GW of mining capacity, but Bitcoin network adapts seamlessly via difficulty adjustment Additional industry signals: Kraken delays IPO, Blockfills bankruptcy surfaces, and continued policy momentum via Bitcoin Policy Institute ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin

Brady and John open with a light exchange about audio issues, spring weather, and using AI to fill in for John’s upcoming absence The hosts reflect on how addictive and productive AI tools have become, comparing the experience to having an always-on intelligent collaborator Bitcoin’s recent strength stands out, with the hosts noting that it outperformed gold during a real geopolitical scare while ETF inflows remained strong They discuss whether Bitcoin has already put in a price bottom near $60K, while questioning whether the market now faces a “bear market in time” rather than a deeper price collapse Sentiment indicators like Fear & Greed are highlighted as signs that panic may have peaked, even if confidence takes time to rebuild The episode covers macro tailwinds for Bitcoin, including improving manufacturing PMI, weakening jobs data, persistent inflation pressure, and the structural impossibility of reining in US government spending Strategy’s continued Bitcoin accumulation is framed as a major long-term signal, while the discussion around Stretch focuses on how Bitcoin-linked financial products are competing with private credit for investor capital The BlackRock private credit withdrawal limits story is used to contrast the opacity and illiquidity of traditional finance with Bitcoin-native alternatives Brady and John review major financial-system developments including Kraken’s Fed access, Morgan Stanley launching its own Bitcoin ETF, Coinbase custody scrutiny, and Elon Musk’s X Money rollout They close by arguing that Bitcoin is becoming more deeply embedded in the financial system, even if many of the latest policy wins are benefiting crypto and stablecoins more directly than Bitcoin itself ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin